Aug 27, 2025 Evening, MongoDB, Inc.
1. Executive Summary
MongoDB (MDB) presents a favorable risk/reward profile for a 7-day horizon, combining strong analyst consensus, post-earnings momentum, and technical indicators suggesting a potential rebound. Current price validation ($295.70) confirms key metrics remain intact, while the 25-35% upside target aligns with short-term catalysts.
2. Company Overview
MongoDB provides cloud-based database solutions through MongoDB Atlas and Enterprise Advanced, operating in the Software - Infrastructure sector. Key attributes include:
- Market Cap: $24.16B
- Business Model: Subscription-based cloud infrastructure services
- Competitive Position: Leader in NoSQL databases with growing enterprise adoption
3. Industry Analysis
The cloud infrastructure sector is expanding due to enterprise digital transformation, with MongoDB benefiting from increased demand for scalable database solutions. However, competition from AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Snowflake remains a critical factor.
4. Financial Analysis
- Current Price: $295.70 (as of 2025-08-27)
- 52-Week Range: $140.78 - $370.00
- Beta: 1.44 (higher volatility than market)
- Volume: 20.61M (active trading interest)
- Earnings Momentum: Q2 results beat Wall Street estimates, though exact figures remain undisclosed
5. Valuation
The stock trades 21% below its 52-week high, suggesting technical potential for a rebound. Analyst price targets and earnings momentum provide alternative valuation signals, with a $330–$350 target implying 25–35% upside.
6. Investment Thesis
MDB’s combination of 24 "Buy" and 6 "Strong Buy" analyst ratings (past 30 days) and post-earnings momentum creates a compelling short-term opportunity. The current price level offers a strategic entry point for capturing potential movement toward key resistance levels.
7. Risk Analysis
- Volatility Risk: Beta of 1.44 amplifies downside potential if the stock fails to rebound
- Earnings Dependency: Recent outperformance creates risk of correction if follow-through is weak
- Sector Competition: Intensifying rivalry in cloud infrastructure could pressure margins
8. Investment Recommendation
Recommendation: Buy
Entry Range: $295–$300 with stop-loss below $280
Target Price: $330–$350 (7-day horizon)
Maximum Risk: 3-5% of portfolio capital due to volatility profile
Financial Snapshot
As of August 28, 2025